Wednesday, November 6, 2024

Connecticut 29th Senate District finally fell

Never mind...Mansfield came in with another ~2,500 votes from same-day registration after these numbers had been published. Not seeing how to hide this post and I don't want to delete it right now.

Local media had not mentioned anything about the outstanding ballots yet to be counted.

This is a seat that was gerrymandered like 30 years ago to be a safely Democratic seat as Don Williams was rising in the senate leadership.

Mae Flexer continued to win it, with her first race for the open seat being close (2.1ppt victory, when Don had last won by 24.8ppt); then safe reelections around 10%. Once she showed some weakness in 2020 with a 4.4ppt victory, the Greens decided to also start running -- and in 2024 the Greens siphoning votes delivered the seat to the Republicans.

It has a line of Reagan Democrat towns along RI, then a string of smaller Republican towns, then two large towns each with a state university.

2024:
-0.29ppt LOSS with the Greens pulling 1.74ppt of the vote...bwahahahaha
Democratic Party Mae Flexer 16,442 45.51%
Working Families Party Mae Flexer 848 2.35%
Independent Party Mae Flexer 409 1.13%
Republican Party Chris Reddy 17,804 49.28%
Green Party Alice Leibowitz 627 1.74%


2022:
3.3ppt victory with 2.2ppt to the Greens.
Mae Flexer (D / Working Families Party / Independent Party) 50.6 14,893
Susanne Witkowski (R) 47.3 13,927
Jean de Smet (G) Candidate Connection 2.2 634


2020:
4.4ppt victory
Mae Flexer (D / Working Families Party) 52.2 20,878
Jessica Alba (R / Independent Party) 47.8 19,103


2018:
12.6ppt victory
Mae Flexer (D) 56.3 18,915
David Coderre (R) 43.7 14,679


2016:
9.64ppt victory
Democratic Mae Flexer Incumbent 54.82% 22,180
Republican John French 45.18% 18,280


2014:
2.1ppt victory
Democratic Mae Flexer 46.6% 11,537
Working Families Mae Flexer 4.4% 1,099
Republican John French 43.8% 10,850
Independent John French 5.1% 1,266


2012:
24.8ppt victory
Democratic Donald E. Williams Incumbent 62.4% 21,567
Republican Sally White 37.6% 13,007

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